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Cutting Edge Real Estate, Is the Bubble Ready To Burst?
Of course, this is the big question in real estate now. . . Will the so-called real estate bubble burst like the dot-com bubble did a few years back? There are some good arguments on both sides of the issue. Whatever happens in the next few years, it will affect millions of Americans, and therefore also millions of people worldwide. If the bubble does "burst" as some say, it is all but certain we could, or more like would, go into a recession. A deep one. Right now the real estate business has been a prime reason that the economy has been decent the last few years. It has been one of the few consistently bright areas of our economy. First of all, to compare the real estate industry with the dot-com industry is unreasonable. It's comparing apples with oranges. The real estate industry has been and will always be a central part of the US economy. It will never disappear and there will always be a need and demand for it. Investing in real estate makes sense for the long term. On the other hand, the dot-com bubble was not based on anything more than speculation. Many businesses were trading on the stock market for unreal amounts of money and never made a dime in profit and ultimately never would. So for me, some of this thinking is this: "Well, the stock market had the dot-com boom and then it collapsed, so now we have this real estate boom so surely it will collapse also." I just don't go along with that comparison. Again, these are totally different industries and markets. Heck, if we can pay $20,000, $50,000 and even up to and over $100,000 on automobiles, then spending $300,000, $1,000,000 and more on homes seems very reasonable. Property will always be there as long as the mortgage is paid and the taxes are paid, too. That brings us to a good argument for believing the real estate market will slow down and possibly have a downturn. The reason there is a good argument for the belief that the real estate industry will have a major downturn is because some people, perhaps a good amount of people, won't be able to keep up with their mortgage payments if they start losing their jobs and the economy slows down. The rise in gas prices could have a major effect on the economy and if these homeowners start defaulting on their mortgages then this could turn the industry around. Many home owners and speculative real estate investors are using what some would call risky home mortgages, the interest-only and no-income verification loans. These allow more people to buy more homes and are part of the reason the real estate industry has enjoyed such a boom the last several years. Creative financing started decades ago and has kept increasing more and more different ways for the home buyer and speculator to get what they want. This is a good thing overall in my opinion. However I can see the dangers of this trend also. I don't feel a burst is inevitable but it is certainly very possible. Perhaps more likely, unless a major event such as another war or terrorist attack, is a slow down and evening off of the growth of the real estate industry. There are those on the side of the inevitable downturn philosophy, who are preparing for the worst. Just as some people can make money on the stock market even when it goes down, there are those who are preparing for a possible - inevitable in their minds - downturn in the real estate market. Here is one such way to capitalize on a real estate bubble burst or at least a downturn: pre- foreclosure deals. There are some investment clubs that are based solely on waiting for this to happen and then buying into this market. People will be foreclosing in record numbers if this downturn comes. Perhaps it is more accurate to say when, because as history shows there are always downturns in the market; and with all the creative financing, no interest loans and no income verification loans the probability of a downturn is likely. However, this is different than a "burst." So here is what can happen: 1. The market will keep going the way it has the last few years, which is up, up and up. Quickly is some areas. Not likely. 2. The market will slow down and level off soon. Very possible. 3. The market will have a slight downturn and many will lose their homes and many will benefit from this. Very possible. 4. The market will "burst" the "bubble" and there will be a major catastrophe in the industry. Possible, but not as likely as 2 and 3. Whatever happens, there will be some who are ready for it. Tim Phelan makes his living now online and has been involved in real estate as an investment for several years. Tim Phelan's BlogMore Real Estate Info
MORE RESOURCES: L.A.’s Real Estate Upfronts Reveal Penthouse A at Rosewood Residences Beverly Hills Hollywood Reporter Real estate mogul cautions about avoidable mistake when buying a home, explains how to avoid 'drowning' Fox Business Coloradans negotiating lower fees for real estate agents with new law on horizon Colorado Public Radio Massachusetts real estate transactions for Hampden, Hampshire and Franklin counties May 19, 2024 edition MassLive.com Routt County real estate sales at $17.6M for May 9-15 Steamboat Pilot & Today Rudy Giuliani Slashes Price on His New York City Apartment to $5.7M Realtor.com News Real estate transfers: May 17, 2024 RiverheadLOCAL London Real Estate Is About to Get the ‘Selling Sunset’ Treatment Hollywood Reporter Mid-May Greenwich Real Estate Market Report Greenwich Sentinel Real Estate Newsletter Articles this Week: Housing Starts Increased to 1.360 million Annual Rate in April Calculated Risk Dodge County Real Estate Transfers Fremont Tribune The Michael Houck Real Estate Guide for May 19 Oil City News MCB Real Estate Revives Long-Awaited Viva White Oak Mixed-Use Project Source of the Spring Washington state ahead of the game as lawsuit rewrites real estate commission rules - Puget Sound Business Journal The Business Journals Yes, there are other coastal Delaware towns besides Rehoboth Washington Blade Dutchess County, NY real estate 2024: What's on the market for $579K Poughkeepsie Journal Baltimore real estate: 4 waterfront condos for sale The Baltimore Banner Home Prices Hit Record Highs in April 2024: Trends & Forecast Norada Real Estate Investments STAR resource center Department of Taxation and Finance Real Estate Briefs: Lakeside homes, news condos, and more news Rough Draft Atlanta REAL ESTATE | UPDATE | Johnson Bus selling lot for new West Bend Fire Department No. 1 washingtoncountyinsider.com VIDEO | REAL ESTATE | Construction finally underway for Taco John's in West Bend, WI washingtoncountyinsider.com Revolution in real estate: How the NAR settlement is changing the game Eden Prairie Local News James Quinn's Data Center Advisory Expertise at JLL Drives Innovative Real Estate Solutions for Global Corporations Markets Insider Oceanport's Denholtz recognized by commercial real estate organization themonmouthjournaleastern.com Westmoreland County Real Estate Transfers | Real Estate | latrobebulletinnews.com latrobebulletinnews.com OT Real Estate Spotlight of the Week: 2115 Sheridan Place The Owensboro Times Innovative Leaders Vanderstraaten and Rohrman Inducted into North Texas Commercial Real Estate Hall of Fame ... dallasinnovates.com Here are recent property transfers up to $1.28 million St. Albans Messenger Real Estate Mogul Grant Cardone Closes Largest All-Cash Multifamily Deal In South Florida This Year Yahoo Finance Billy Joel spends over $10M for sprawling East Hampton pad with horse farm, neighbors other A-listers New York Post Robert Willett may be targeting female Realtors in Northeast Ohio Akron Beacon Journal My Co-op Neighbor Never Pays His Maintenance on Time. Can We Make Him? The New York Times China Says It Will Start Buying Apartments as Housing Slump Worsens The New York Times Navigating Northern Virginia Real Estate: An Insight Into Rhonda Campbell's Bespoke Approach Grit Daily Refined Real Estate: Unique Leschi home with lake views lists for $1,395,000 seattlerefined.com Number of homes for sale in Metro Atlanta increased significantly, real estate brokerage says – WABE WABE 90.1 FM Real Estate Transactions for May 18-19 | News, Sports, Jobs Nashua Telegraph What's real estate wellness? Fortune Ellison sues real estate broker Chad Banken over alleged schemes involving contracts for deed Star Tribune Billionaire Frank McCourt raises his hand to buy TikTok Business Insider Connecticut real estate law changed after MV Realty investigation Eyewitness News 3 Connecticut real estate law changed after MV Realty investigation Eyewitness News 3 KKR Real Estate Finance Trust Inc. (NYSE:KREF) Given Average Recommendation of “Moderate Buy” by Analysts Defense World Sean Bloom Investments Announces $2B Real Estate Project in Las Vegas InvestorsObserver Do starter homes still exist? Here's what NJ realtors said NorthJersey.com Edgefront Real Estate Investment Trust (TSE:NXR) Forecasted to Earn FY2024 Earnings of $0.73 Per Share Defense World Berkshire County Real Estate Transactions for April 29-May 3 Berkshire Eagle First Capital Real Estate Investment Trust (TSE:FCR.UN) Share Price Crosses Above Two Hundred Day Moving ... Defense World Bienville Realty: Commercial real estate Fox 10 News Letter: Clarifying changes to real estate industry Morgan Hill Times EG Real Estate: 18 Opens This Weekend – East Greenwich News East Greenwich News Local couple buys Pat Burrell's former Center City penthouse for 38% under original asking price Philadelphia Business Journal Home listings are on the rise in southern Colorado, while other indicators show a slowing real estate market Colorado Public Radio Did Fort Worth’s real estate market really ‘bottom out’? | Fort Fort Worth Star-Telegram Southern fast-food chain Cook Out buys Tampa real estate Tampa Bay Business Journal New Rules for North Texas Real Estate Agents Creates Uncertainty Dallas Observer Artis Real Estate Investment Trust (OTCMKTS:ARESF) Sees Significant Growth in Short Interest Defense World Busch relative settles squabble with Clayton investors over real estate trust St. Louis Post-Dispatch |
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